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GPs generally wait for patients to realise they are sick and come knocking on the door. 

But imagine if you knew when a patient was likely to experience an adverse event – even before they did – and you could contact them to discuss early or preventive treatment.

This is not a futuristic plot from a sci-fi movie – it’s a scenario that is entirely possible through the use of Predictive Risk Modelling (PRM).

PRM, a sophisticated algorithm, could tap into existing patient databases, identify those at risk of future adverse events and inform doctors so they can contact those patients before they need hospital emergency care. 

Associate Professor Paul Dugdale, director of the ANU Centre for Health Stewardship, says successful PRM would enable GPs to offer more proactive care to patients and help facilitate better use of their currently overstretched resources.

“If PRM can identify the patients