How the Heart Foundation chose Australia’s new CVD risk equation
It was a 'fairly easy choice' in the end, says Professor Garry Jennings.
The PREDICT-1° algorithm trumped nine other candidate risk equations for use in Australia even though it is the only one without external validation, say the authors of the new CVD prevention guidelines.
The updated guidelines and risk calculator — released by the National Heart Foundation of Australia last month — replaced the decades-old Framingham equation with New Zealand’s PREDICT tool, which is based on a contemporary primary care cohort.
At the time, Heart Foundation chief medical adviser Professor Garry Jennings said it was “more predictive” and would lead to better patient outcomes.
Now, the guideline authors have published the evidence behind their decision to overhaul the risk calculator.
