Sydney on brink of coronavirus outbreak, warn experts

Complacency could lead to a new wave of community transmission outside Victoria, epidemiologists say

The COVID-19 outbreak in southwest Sydney has the potential to spread across the state because of falling adherence to physical distancing, the latest modelling suggests.

People in NSW are recording 8.1 non-household contacts a day and only adhering to the 1.5 metre rule 36% of the time, according to a report published by The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity in Melbourne.

These figures, from the end of June, compare with 3.2 contacts and 63% adherence to physical distancing in April.

This means the statewide

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