We’re on track to flatten the curve, but what happens next?

Professor Tony Blakely

Australia is on track to flatten the curve of coronavirus cases, which will allow our health system to cope with increasing demand for ICU beds, recently released modelling confirms.

The modelling, produced by the Doherty Institute, was delivered to government in February but only released publicly last week.

In a press conference before the release, Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Chief Medical Officer Professor Brendan Murphy emphasised the modelling was theoretical and used international data.

International data is still useful — the public health advice on tobacco, for example, is derived mostly from non-Australian studies.