What’s the shelf life of a randomised controlled trial?

A study has tracked the likelihood of evidence being superseded over 17 years
Clare Pain
Pile of medical journals with stehoscope draped over them

In these days of evidence-based medicine, you can’t do much better than a well-designed, double-blind, randomised controlled trial (RCT).

It is the staple ingredient of the systematic reviews and meta-analyses that we use to make sense of the burgeoning medical literature, hopefully distilling data into digestible bites that can inform clinical practice.

But what happens when researchers throw something new into the mix and end up with a better cake?

Because evidence evolves, Canadian and US researchers set out to determine how often RCTs were overturned by later research.